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Game 824601

Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox

Rate Field

May 15, 7:40 PM EDT

Chicago Cubs Logo
Chicago White Sox Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Chicago Cubs Logo
CHC

R

10

H

14

E

0

123456789100120240
Challenges remaining: 1
Chicago White Sox Logo
CWS

R

5

H

8

E

0

123456789010021001
Challenges remaining: 0
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Chicago Cubs Logo
CHC
10012024010140
Challenges remaining: 1
Chicago White Sox Logo
CWS
010021001580
Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CWS
CHC

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CWS4CHC1
4
1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CWS50%CHC0%
50%
0%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CWS25%CHC0%
25%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs SHB

RHP vs RHB

33%

3 reviews

ELI 48.0

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

LHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 59.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot4 • Chicago White Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 2-1

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -4.92% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 67%EV -4.92%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Chicago White Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • 3-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.27% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 63%EV -0.27%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Chicago White Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 59

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -2.91% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21
Two OutsLate & Close
OVR 44%EV -2.91%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Chicago White Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 7-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.78% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21
RISPTwo OutsBases Loaded
OVR 63%EV +0.78%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • Chicago Cubs

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 10-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.14% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 63%EV -0.14%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B0-2SliderKCFMCFMCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Miguel Vargas vs Edward Cabrera

Count Transition

0-2 → 1-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 4 • 2-1 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

42

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

89.0 MPH

Location

0.84 x, 2.91 z

Umpire Count

0-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-2 to 1-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -6.92% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

67% overturn probability and -4.92% expected value at challenge time.