Game 824670

San Francisco Giants at Chicago Cubs

Wrigley Field

Jun 7, 8:30 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

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CHC

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E	ABS
SF	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	1	Challenges remaining: 1
CHC	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CHC

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CHC4SF2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CHC75%SF50%

75%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CHC75%SF100%

75%

100%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

100%

3 reviews

ELI 62.0

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 66.5

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 60.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Curveball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top4 • Chicago Cubs

Carson Kelly challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Drew Gilbert called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.20% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

Top8 • San Francisco Giants

Casey Schmitt challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Casey Schmitt called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

Bot8 • Chicago Cubs

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.04% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 3%EV -1.04%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot9 • Chicago Cubs

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 66

Overturned +30

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.81% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 3%EV -0.81%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot10 • San Francisco Giants

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 62

Overturned +28

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 2-1

Count Edge

-53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.33% EV

Scenario Swing Index+28

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 63%EV -0.33%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.4 ptsBB -55.6 pts

Bot10 • Chicago Cubs

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 62

Overturned +28

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 2-1

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.55% EV

Scenario Swing Index+28

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 39%EV -0.55%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Drew Gilbert vs Javier Assad

Count Transition

1-2 → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 4 • Tie 1-1 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Curveball

Velocity

78.6 MPH

Location

-0.56 x, 1.52 z

Umpire Count

1-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-2 to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +2.21% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +0.20% expected value at challenge time.