Game 824678

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs

Wrigley Field

May 20, 7:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIL

123456789031000100

CHC

123456789000000000

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIL	0	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	8	0	Challenges remaining: 1
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CHC

MIL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CHC2MIL1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CHC50%MIL0%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CHC0%MIL0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 37.0

LHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 30.0

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 44.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top5 • Chicago Cubs

Carson Kelly challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Brice Turang called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Overturned +14

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.16% EV

Scenario Swing Index+14

Less Than 2 Outs

Bot6 • Chicago Cubs

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Confirmed -11

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.31% EV

Scenario Swing Index-11

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 67%EV +1.31%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot9 • Milwaukee Brewers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 44

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.16% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.16%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Brice Turang vs Trent Thornton

Count Transition

1-2 → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 5 • 4-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

94.9 MPH

Location

-0.80 x, 2.03 z

Umpire Count

1-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-2 to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -1.30% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +0.16% expected value at challenge time.