Game 824680
Wrigley Field
May 18, 7:40 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
3 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs RHB
LHP vs RHB
67%
3 reviews
ELI 48.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Sinker
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-L
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top3 • Chicago Cubs
Medium Pressure • ELI 58
Count Shift
2-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 1-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.09% EV
Bot7 • Milwaukee Brewers
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
2-0 → 1-1
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 9-3
Count Edge
-1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.14% EV
Top9 • Chicago Cubs
Medium Pressure • ELI 44
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 9-3
Count Edge
-1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.21% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Jackson Chourio vs Shota Imanaga
Count Transition
2-2
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Runner on 1st
Top 3 • 1-0 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
58
Pitch
Sweeper
Velocity
82.6 MPH
Location
-0.43 x, 1.46 z
Umpire Count
2-2
Baseball Consequence
Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 2-2.
The review did not create a new state; 2-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.
Decision Read
Model leaned challenge
63% overturn probability and +0.09% expected value at challenge time.