Game 824691
Wrigley Field
Apr 19, 2:20 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
3 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 62.0
LHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 66.0
RHP vs LHB
0%
1 review
ELI 50.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-R
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot2 • Chicago Cubs
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
1-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.46% EV
Bot9 • New York Mets
Medium Pressure • ELI 62
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 1-0
Count Edge
-17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.35% EV
Top10 • New York Mets
High Pressure • ELI 66
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
+1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +1.53% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Moisés Ballesteros vs Tobias Myers
Count Transition
1-2
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Runner on 1st
Bot 2 • Tie 0-0 • 1 out
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
50
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
93.0 MPH
Location
0.74 x, 1.57 z
Umpire Count
1-2
Baseball Consequence
Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 1-2.
The review did not create a new state; 1-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.
Decision Read
Model leaned challenge
39% overturn probability and +0.46% expected value at challenge time.