Game 824699

Los Angeles Angels at Chicago Cubs

Wrigley Field

Mar 31, 11:40 PM UTC

Game Live

In Progress

Count2-2

Outs

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
LAA	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	0	1	1	Challenges remaining: 2
CHC	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	1	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Feed delayed. Showing last known state.

LiveUpdated 21h ago

Challenge cadence (last 10m)

InningBottom 4

Count2-2

Outs2

Score0 - 0

Away ABS2

Home ABS2

Inning 4·2 Outs·Base state: 000·No challenge drama at this state yet

Live Review Pulse • Live

Estimated Leverage

62ELI

Medium Pressure through inning 4

Game tied • Count 2-2 • 2 outs

Away (0)

Home (0)

CHC remaining2

LAA remaining2

Current Review Spot

Challenge Now?

Bot 4 • Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Estimated Leverage62

2-2 • MEDIUM

Next Ball Path

3-2

53% overturn

Next Strike Path

Strikeout

45% overturn

Current Run State

0.089

Current decision backdrop

Most Meaningful Flip

Called strike overturned to 3-2

Run Swing

+0.041

Model would challenge this spot. Estimated decision value: +0.36%.

Live Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Challenge Split

CHC

LAA

Reviews Used

How aggressively each club has entered the ABS game so far.

CHC0LAA1

Overturn Rate

Who has turned reviews into wins more often tonight.

Mixed ConfidenceCHCN/ALAA100%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

100%

Average Leverage

Whether those reviews have come in louder spots or quieter ones.

Mixed ConfidenceCHCN/ALAA46.0

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

46.0

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • Los Angeles Angels

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +33

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.84% EV

Scenario Swing Index+33

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 53%EV +1.84%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

1 reviewed pitch so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-M

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Nico Hoerner vs José Soriano

Count Transition

2-1 → 1-2

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 2 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

96.6 MPH

Location

-0.23 x, 3.14 z

Count Before

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-1 to 1-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.122 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +1.84% expected value at challenge time.