Game 824704

Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs

Wrigley Field

Mar 26, 2:20 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

WSH

123456789010601002

CHC

123456789002100100

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
WSH	0	1	0	6	0	1	0	0	2	10	11	2	Challenges remaining: 1
CHC	0	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	8	1	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CHC

WSH

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CHC0WSH3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceCHCN/AWSH67%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceCHCN/AWSH0%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 39.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Knuckle Curve

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Washington Nationals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

3-0 → 2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.29% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV -0.29%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -5.9 ptsBB -90.1 pts

Top6 • Washington Nationals

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Overturned +14

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-3

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index+14

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Washington Nationals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 8-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.09% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 67%EV -0.09%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Alex Bregman vs Cade Cavalli

Count Transition

3-0 → 2-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 2nd

Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Knuckle Curve

Velocity

86.1 MPH

Location

0.68 x, 1.74 z

Umpire Count

3-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 3-0 to 2-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -0.29% expected value at challenge time.