Game 824758

Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox

Fenway Park

May 26, 6:45 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

ATL

123456789000023020

BOS

123456789200001102

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
ATL	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0	7	9	1	Challenges remaining: 1
BOS	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	6	9	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BOS

ATL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BOS2ATL2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BOS0%ATL50%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BOS50%ATL0%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs SHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 54.0

LHP vs RHB

2 reviews

ELI 56.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.37% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV +0.37%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Atlanta Braves

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

3-0 → 2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • 5-3

Count Edge

-61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -21.47% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV -21.47%LOW RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -5.9 ptsBB -90.1 pts

Bot7 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 65

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.93% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 39%EV -1.93%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Atlanta Braves

Ozzie Albies challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Ozzie Albies called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 59

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.78% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Two Outs

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Austin Riley vs Ranger Suarez

Count Transition

3-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 2 • 0-2 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

91.0 MPH

Location

1.11 x, 1.91 z

Umpire Count

3-2

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 3-2.

The review did not create a new state; 3-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

98% overturn probability and +0.37% expected value at challenge time.