Game 824773

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox

Fenway Park

Apr 21, 6:45 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

NYY

123456789010002010

BOS

123456789000000000

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
NYY	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	4	10	0	Challenges remaining: 0
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BOS

NYY

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BOS2NYY2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BOS50%NYY0%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BOS0%NYY0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

33%

3 reviews

ELI 53.7

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 56.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

4 reviews • 25% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top6 • New York Yankees

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.97% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.97%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • New York Yankees

José Caballero challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: José Caballero called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Two OutsFull Count

Bot7 • Boston Red Sox

Caleb Durbin challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Caleb Durbin called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.53% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Two Outs

Bot7 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Overturned +24

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-0

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.37% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

Two Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.37%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Aaron Judge vs Connelly Early

Count Transition

0-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Top 6 • 1-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

94.3 MPH

Location

0.50 x, 1.86 z

Umpire Count

0-2

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 0-2.

The review did not create a new state; 0-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.97% expected value at challenge time.