Game 824829

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Jun 8, 6:35 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

SEA

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BAL

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
SEA	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	1	0	6	9	0	Challenges remaining: 1
BAL	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	6	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

SEA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL3SEA3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BAL67%SEA67%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BAL0%SEA0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 54.5

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 49.5

RHP vs SHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 39.5

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot3 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.52% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Two Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.52%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Seattle Mariners

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 41

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.22%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Seattle Mariners

Jhonny Pereda challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Pete Alonso called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +22

Count Shift

Walk → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 5-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.28% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

RISPLess Than 2 OutsBases LoadedFull Count

Bot8 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +17

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 6-2

Count Edge

+53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.62% EV

Scenario Swing Index+17

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.62%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.4 ptsBB +55.6 pts

Bot8 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +22

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-3

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.60% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.60%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot9 • Seattle Mariners

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

3-0 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-3

Count Edge

-61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.12% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.12%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -5.9 ptsBB -90.1 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Colton Cowser vs Emerson Hancock

Count Transition

1-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 3 • 0-1 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

85.8 MPH

Location

-0.76 x, 1.62 z

Umpire Count

1-2

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 1-2.

The review did not create a new state; 1-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.52% expected value at challenge time.