Game 824830

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Jun 9, 6:35 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

SEA

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BAL

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E	ABS
SEA	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	6	11	1	Challenges remaining: 2
BAL	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	5	8	1	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

SEA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL2SEA2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BAL0%SEA100%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BAL100%SEA100%

100%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 56.0

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 66.0

RHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 66.0

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 71.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot7 • Baltimore Orioles

Samuel Basallo challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Samuel Basallo called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 59

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.43% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Two OutsLate & Close

Bot9 • Seattle Mariners

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-2

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.65% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 63%EV +0.65%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot9 • Seattle Mariners

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 66

Overturned +30

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

2nd and 3rd • 4-3

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +2.95% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 63%EV +2.95%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot10 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 71

Confirmed -25

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.51% EV

Scenario Swing Index-25

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 39%EV -0.51%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Samuel Basallo vs Alex Hoppe

Count Transition

Strikeout

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 7 • 4-2 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

98.8 MPH

Location

0.47 x, 2.38 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at Strikeout.

The review did not create a new state; Strikeout situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.43% expected value at challenge time.