Game 824833

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

May 30, 4:05 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

TOR

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BAL

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
TOR	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	1	5	11	1	Challenges remaining: 0
BAL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	6	7	1	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

TOR

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL1TOR3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BAL100%TOR33%

100%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BAL0%TOR33%

33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

2 reviews

ELI 56.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 49.0

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 57.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot4 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 49

Overturned +22

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 2-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Bot4 • Toronto Blue Jays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 2-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

RISPLess Than 2 OutsBases Loaded

OVR 98%EV -0.02%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot5 • Toronto Blue Jays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Overturned +26

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-1

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.08% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26

Two Outs

OVR 63%EV -1.08%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot9 • Toronto Blue Jays

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 66

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

3-0

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 5-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +28.24% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseBases Loaded

OVR 63%EV +28.24%LOW RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Coby Mayo vs Trey Yesavage

Count Transition

Strikeout → 2-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Bot 4 • 2-1 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

88.1 MPH

Location

0.88 x, 2.05 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from Strikeout to 2-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.18% expected value at challenge time.