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Game 824835

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

May 29, 7:05 PM EDT

Toronto Blue Jays Logo
Baltimore Orioles Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Toronto Blue Jays Logo
TOR

R

6

H

10

E

2

123456789000000420
Challenges remaining: 2
Baltimore Orioles Logo
BAL

R

5

H

8

E

0

123456789002120000
Challenges remaining: 1
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Toronto Blue Jays Logo
TOR
0000004206102
Challenges remaining: 2
Baltimore Orioles Logo
BAL
002120000580
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL
TOR

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL1TOR1
1
1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BAL0%TOR100%
0%
100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BAL0%TOR100%
0%
100%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

2 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs SHB

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 67.0

LHP vs RHB

0%

1 review

ELI 41.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top6 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 41

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 0-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.79% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 98%EV +0.79%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Toronto Blue Jays

Brandon Valenzuela challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Adley Rutschman called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

Walk → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.60% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25
Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseFull Count

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM2-2ChangeupK

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

George Springer vs Trevor Rogers

Count Transition

2-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Top 6 • 0-5 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

41

Pitch

Changeup

Velocity

86.3 MPH

Location

0.30 x, 1.38 z

Umpire Count

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 2-2.

The review did not create a new state; 2-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

98% overturn probability and +0.79% expected value at challenge time.