Game 824838

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

May 25, 1:35 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

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BAL

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	R	H	E	ABS
TB	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	7	12	4	Challenges remaining: 0
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	1	4	9	12	1	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL4TB4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BAL50%TB25%

50%

25%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BAL75%TB50%

75%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

8 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs SHB

RHP vs LHB

25%

4 reviews

ELI 63.5

RHP vs SHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 70.0

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 66.0

LHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 72.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

4 reviews • 25% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.09% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV +1.09%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.96% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 3%EV -0.96%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot5 • Tampa Bay Rays

Hunter Feduccia challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Jackson Holliday walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 61

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.16% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

RISPTwo OutsTie Game

Bot9 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 73

Overturned +33

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.20% EV

Scenario Swing Index+33

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

Top10 • Baltimore Orioles

Adley Rutschman challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Oliver Dunn walks. Chandler Simpson to 3rd. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.

High Pressure • ELI 70

Confirmed -25

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.77% EV

Scenario Swing Index-25

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie GameBases LoadedFull Count

Top11 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 67

Overturned +30

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

No review • +0.00% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

Top11 • Baltimore Orioles

Adley Rutschman challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Chandler Simpson called out on strikes.

High Pressure • ELI 65

Overturned +29

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

No review • +0.00% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

Two OutsLate & Close

Top13 • Tampa Bay Rays

Taylor Walls challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Taylor Walls called out on strikes.

High Pressure • ELI 65

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

No review • +0.00% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

Two OutsLate & Close

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Hunter Feduccia vs Kyle Bradish

Count Transition

1-0

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 3 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Curveball

Velocity

82.5 MPH

Location

-0.20 x, 1.47 z

Umpire Count

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 1-0.

The review did not create a new state; 1-0 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +1.09% expected value at challenge time.