Game 824840

Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

May 24, 6:05 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

DET

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BAL

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
DET	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	7	0	Challenges remaining: 2
BAL	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

DET

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL3DET0

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceBAL67%DETN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

67%

N/A

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceBAL0%DETN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 57.5

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 56.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • Baltimore Orioles

Colton Cowser challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Colton Cowser walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Overturned +20

Count Shift

Strikeout → Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 2-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.29% EV

Scenario Swing Index+20

RISPTwo OutsFull Count

Top9 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 61

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.29% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV +1.29%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot9 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Overturned +24

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 4-1

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.42% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.42%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Colton Cowser vs Troy Melton

Count Transition

Strikeout → Walk

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Bot 2 • 2-0 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

98.7 MPH

Location

0.63 x, 1.48 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from Strikeout to Walk.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.29% expected value at challenge time.