Game 824842

Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

May 22, 7:15 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

DET

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BAL

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
DET	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	7	1	Challenges remaining: 1
BAL	0	0	3	3	0	1	0	0	—	7	14	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

DET

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL2DET3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BAL0%DET67%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BAL0%DET0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

50%

4 reviews

ELI 46.3

RHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 46.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.27% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 67%EV -0.27%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top3 • Detroit Tigers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 43

Overturned +19

Count Shift

Strikeout → 1-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 2-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.26% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Top6 • Detroit Tigers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-6

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Two Outs

OVR 39%EV +1.03%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Detroit Tigers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-6

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -2.45% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV -2.45%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-7

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.92% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Two Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.92%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Adley Rutschman vs Jack Flaherty

Count Transition

0-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 3rd

Bot 1 • 1-0 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

91.3 MPH

Location

0.80 x, 2.32 z

Umpire Count

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 0-1.

The review did not create a new state; 0-1 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

67% overturn probability and -0.27% expected value at challenge time.