Game 824847

Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

May 9, 4:05 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

ATH

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BAL

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
ATH	1	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	6	11	0	Challenges remaining: 0
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	9	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

ATH

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL0ATH2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceBALN/AATH0%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceBALN/AATH0%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

2 reviewed pitches so far • 0 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

2 reviews

ELI 48.5

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Oakland Athletics

Jacob Wilson challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Jacob Wilson called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.35% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Top3 • Oakland Athletics

Jacob Wilson challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Jacob Wilson called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 33

Confirmed -12

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.47% EV

Scenario Swing Index-12

Two OutsFull Count

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Jacob Wilson vs Shane Baz

Count Transition

Strikeout

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 2 • 1-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

96.5 MPH

Location

0.76 x, 1.86 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at Strikeout.

The review did not create a new state; Strikeout situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.35% expected value at challenge time.