Game 824851
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Apr 25, 12:05 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
3 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 36.5
LHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 30.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Slider
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-M
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top3 • Baltimore Orioles
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
2-0 → 1-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 3-0
Count Edge
-1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.02% EV
Top4 • Boston Red Sox
Low Pressure • ELI 34
Count Shift
1-2 → 2-1
Base / Score
1st and 3rd • 3-0
Count Edge
+17.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.64% EV
Bot6 • Boston Red Sox
Low Pressure • ELI 30
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 7-0
Count Edge
-1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -1.47% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Caleb Durbin vs Tyler Wells
Count Transition
2-0 → 1-1
Result
Call Overturned
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Empty
Top 3 • 3-0 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
39
Pitch
Slider
Velocity
85.6 MPH
Location
0.19 x, 1.52 z
Umpire Count
2-0
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 2-0 to 1-1.
Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.
Decision Read
Model leaned hold
98% overturn probability and -0.02% expected value at challenge time.