Game 824855

Arizona Diamondbacks at Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Apr 15, 12:35 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

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BAL

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E	ABS
AZ	0	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	3	8	13	0	Challenges remaining: 1
BAL	0	1	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	5	8	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL3AZ1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BAL67%AZ0%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BAL33%AZ0%

33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

LHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 53.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 82.0

RHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 51.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.34% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

RISPTwo OutsTie Game

OVR 39%EV -0.34%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot3 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 2-1

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.79% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.79%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.83% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Two Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.83%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Baltimore Orioles

Sam Huff challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Corbin Carroll called out on strikes.

High Pressure • ELI 75

Overturned +34

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 5-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.87% EV

Scenario Swing Index+34

Two OutsLate & CloseTie Game

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Coby Mayo vs Eduardo Rodriguez

Count Transition

3-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 2nd

Bot 2 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

92.5 MPH

Location

0.77 x, 2.19 z

Umpire Count

3-1

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 3-1.

The review did not create a new state; 3-1 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.34% expected value at challenge time.