Game 824856

Arizona Diamondbacks at Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Apr 13, 6:35 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

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BAL

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
AZ	1	0	1	2	—	—	—	—	—	4	5	1	Challenges remaining: 2
BAL	0	0	1	0	—	—	—	—	—	1	1	1	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL3AZ3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BAL33%AZ100%

33%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BAL67%AZ67%

67%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

33%

3 reviews

ELI 59.3

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 35.0

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 60.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top5 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Overturned +18

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 4-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV -0.01%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Overturned +14

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 7-1

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.23% EV

Scenario Swing Index+14

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.23%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 7-6

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 98%EV -0.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 65

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-8

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -2.57% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 44%EV -2.57%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • Baltimore Orioles

Blaze Alexander challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Blaze Alexander called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-9

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.66% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

Top9 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +27

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-9

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.30% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 3%EV -0.30%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Corbin Carroll vs Dean Kremer

Count Transition

2-0 → 1-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 2nd

Top 5 • 4-1 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Splitter

Velocity

81.7 MPH

Location

-0.12 x, 3.05 z

Umpire Count

2-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-0 to 1-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

98% overturn probability and -0.01% expected value at challenge time.