Bot7 • Baltimore Orioles
Ball
Medium Pressure • ELI 47
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 7-3
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.49% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Game 824861
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mar 31, 10:35 PM UTC
Medium Pressure through inning 8
Away leads • Count 1-1 • 3 outs
Challenge Now?
Top 8 • Bases Empty • 7-3
1-1 • MEDIUM
Next Ball Path
2-1
53% overturn
Next Strike Path
1-2
45% overturn
Current Run State
N/A
Current decision backdrop
Most Meaningful Flip
Called strike overturned to 2-1
Expected Review Value
+0.39%
Model would challenge this spot. Estimated decision value: +0.39%.
Team vs Team Challenge Split
Reviews Used
How aggressively each club has entered the ABS game so far.
Overturn Rate
Who has turned reviews into wins more often tonight.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Average Leverage
Whether those reviews have come in louder spots or quieter ones.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Scenario Timeline
Bot7 • Baltimore Orioles
Medium Pressure • ELI 47
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 7-3
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.49% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Tonight's Review Pattern
1 reviewed pitch so far • 1 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 47.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Changeup
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-M
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Gunnar Henderson vs Jakob Junis
Count Transition
0-1 → 1-0
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Bases Empty
Bot 7 • 7-3 • 2 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
47
Pitch
Changeup
Velocity
86.3 MPH
Location
-0.13 x, 1.62 z
Count Before
0-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.023 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
45% overturn probability and -0.49% expected value at challenge time.