Game 824865

Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Mar 26, 3:05 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIN

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BAL

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5	1	Challenges remaining: 1
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	—	2	5	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

MIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL1MIN4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BAL0%MIN75%

75%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BAL0%MIN50%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 69.0

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 51.0

RHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 62.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.80% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 3%EV -0.80%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • Minnesota Twins

Josh Bell challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Josh Bell walks. Matt Wallner to 2nd.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

3-1 → Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

Bot4 • Baltimore Orioles

Samuel Basallo challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Samuel Basallo called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.84% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Two OutsTie Game

Bot7 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 66

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.56% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 63%EV +0.56%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 72

Overturned +32

Count Shift

Strikeout → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.12% EV

Scenario Swing Index+32

Two OutsLate & Close

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Matt Wallner vs Trevor Rogers

Count Transition

0-1 → 1-0

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Top 2 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

93.0 MPH

Location

-0.47 x, 3.69 z

Umpire Count

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.76% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.80% expected value at challenge time.