Game 824914

Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves

Truist Park

Jun 5, 7:15 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

PIT

123456789003000000

ATL

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
PIT	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	0	Challenges remaining: 1
ATL	0	1	2	0	3	0	0	0	—	6	9	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

ATL

PIT

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

ATL5PIT3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

ATL80%PIT67%

80%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

ATL0%PIT0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

8 reviewed pitches so far • 6 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

LHP vs LHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 47.7

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 55.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 52.0

LHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 57.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Changeup

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Nick Gonzales challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Nick Gonzales called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 OutsTie GameFull Count

Top2 • Atlanta Braves

Sandy León challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Oneil Cruz called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.04% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Top3 • Atlanta Braves

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 2-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.33% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.33%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Overturned +18

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-6

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV -0.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • Atlanta Braves

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +27

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-6

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.65% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Two Outs

Top9 • Atlanta Braves

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 3-6

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +2.45% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV +2.45%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Atlanta Braves

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 3-6

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +3.72% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +3.72%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Overturned +24

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-6

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.20% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.20%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Nick Gonzales vs Martín Pérez

Count Transition

Strikeout

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

85.5 MPH

Location

0.40 x, 1.48 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at Strikeout.

The review did not create a new state; Strikeout situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.40% expected value at challenge time.