Game 824918
Truist Park
Jun 2, 7:15 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
6 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs RHB
67%
3 reviews
ELI 57.7
RHP vs LHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 57.0
RHP vs SHB
100%
1 review
ELI 60.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
4 reviews • 75% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-R
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot1 • Toronto Blue Jays
Medium Pressure • ELI 53
Count Shift
2-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.14% EV
Bot1 • Atlanta Braves
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
0-2 → 1-1
Base / Score
Runner on 3rd • 0-1
Count Edge
+17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -2.90% EV
Top2 • Atlanta Braves
Medium Pressure • ELI 55
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 2-2
Count Edge
-17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -1.28% EV
Top7 • Atlanta Braves
Medium Pressure • ELI 60
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 3-4
Count Edge
-1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.31% EV
Top7 • Atlanta Braves
High Pressure • ELI 65
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 3-4
Count Edge
-1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -1.21% EV
Top8 • Atlanta Braves
High Pressure • ELI 65
Count Shift
2-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 3-4
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +1.45% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Ronald Acuña Jr. vs Kevin Gausman
Count Transition
2-2
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Runner on 1st
Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
53
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
95.1 MPH
Location
-0.11 x, 1.44 z
Umpire Count
2-2
Baseball Consequence
Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 2-2.
The review did not create a new state; 2-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.
Decision Read
Model leaned hold
63% overturn probability and -0.14% expected value at challenge time.