Game 824924

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves

Truist Park

May 16, 7:15 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

BOS

123456789000100020

ATL

123456789100010000

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BOS	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	7	1	Challenges remaining: 0
ATL	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

ATL

BOS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

ATL2BOS3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

ATL50%BOS33%

50%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

ATL50%BOS33%

50%

33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 53.0

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 66.0

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 50.0

LHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 62.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.79% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.79%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • Atlanta Braves

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.52% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 44%EV -0.52%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 59

Overturned +27

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.16% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Less Than 2 Outs

Top9 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 62

Confirmed -22

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index-22

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 39%EV -0.22%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Atlanta Braves

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 66

Overturned +30

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-2

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.55% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 63%EV +0.55%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Masataka Yoshida vs Bryce Elder

Count Transition

3-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 2 • 0-1 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

92.1 MPH

Location

-0.63 x, 2.84 z

Umpire Count

3-2

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 3-2.

The review did not create a new state; 3-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.79% expected value at challenge time.