Bot3 • Oakland Athletics
Ball
Medium Pressure • ELI 45
Count Shift
Walk
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 3-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.27% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Game 824942
Truist Park
Mar 31, 11:15 PM UTC
Medium Pressure through inning 6
Away leads • Count 2-2 • 3 outs
Challenge Now?
Top 6 • Runner on 1st • 5-2
2-2 • MEDIUM
Next Ball Path
3-2
53% overturn
Next Strike Path
Strikeout
45% overturn
Current Run State
N/A
Current decision backdrop
Most Meaningful Flip
Called strike overturned to 3-2
Expected Review Value
+0.44%
Model would challenge this spot. Estimated decision value: +0.44%.
Team vs Team Challenge Split
Reviews Used
How aggressively each club has entered the ABS game so far.
Overturn Rate
Who has turned reviews into wins more often tonight.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Average Leverage
Whether those reviews have come in louder spots or quieter ones.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Scenario Timeline
Bot3 • Oakland Athletics
Medium Pressure • ELI 45
Count Shift
Walk
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 3-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.27% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Tonight's Review Pattern
1 reviewed pitch so far • 0 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
0%
1 review
ELI 45.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Cutter
1 reviews • 0% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-L
1 reviews • 0% overturned
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Drake Baldwin vs Aaron Civale
Count Transition
Walk
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Runner on 1st
Bot 3 • 3-1 • 2 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
45
Pitch
Cutter
Velocity
87.3 MPH
Location
-0.92 x, 3.37 z
Count Before
Walk
Baseball Consequence
Review held the count at Walk.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
45% overturn probability and +0.27% expected value at challenge time.