Top1 • Oakland Athletics
Called Strike
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 1-0
Count Edge
-17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.29% EV
Game 824998
Las Vegas Ballpark
Jun 8, 10:05 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
16 reviewed pitches so far • 11 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs LHB
LHP vs LHB
100%
5 reviews
ELI 67.8
LHP vs RHB
60%
5 reviews
ELI 57.4
RHP vs RHB
67%
3 reviews
ELI 48.7
LHP vs SHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 74.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
7 reviews • 71% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-L
6 reviews • 67% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • Oakland Athletics
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 1-0
Count Edge
-17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.29% EV
Bot3 • Milwaukee Brewers
Low Pressure • ELI 30
Count Shift
3-1 → 2-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-7
Count Edge
-53.7 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.28% EV
Bot3 • Milwaukee Brewers
Low Pressure • ELI 30
Count Shift
Walk → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-7
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.02% EV
Bot6 • Milwaukee Brewers
Low Pressure • ELI 36
Count Shift
2-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 5-8
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.30% EV
Top7 • Oakland Athletics
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 5-9
Count Edge
-17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.01% EV
Bot7 • Oakland Athletics
Medium Pressure • ELI 54
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 7-9
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.16% EV
Bot8 • Milwaukee Brewers
Medium Pressure • ELI 54
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 8-10
Count Edge
-17.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.20% EV
Top9 • Oakland Athletics
High Pressure • ELI 75
Count Shift
3-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 10-10
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.33% EV
Top9 • Oakland Athletics
High Pressure • ELI 75
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 10-10
Count Edge
-17.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.31% EV
Bot9 • Milwaukee Brewers
High Pressure • ELI 73
Count Shift
3-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 10-10
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.95% EV
Bot9 • Milwaukee Brewers
High Pressure • ELI 66
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 10-10
Count Edge
-1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +1.12% EV
Bot9 • Oakland Athletics
High Pressure • ELI 66
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 10-10
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.83% EV
Bot10 • Oakland Athletics
High Pressure • ELI 75
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 14-14
Count Edge
+1.9 pts
Decision Read
No review • +0.00% EV
Top11 • Milwaukee Brewers
High Pressure • ELI 66
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • Tie 14-14
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.42% EV
Top11 • Oakland Athletics
High Pressure • ELI 70
Count Shift
2-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • Tie 14-14
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
No review • +0.00% EV
Bot12 • Oakland Athletics
High Pressure • ELI 71
Count Shift
0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 15-14
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
No review • +0.00% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Jake Bauers vs Jeffrey Springs
Count Transition
1-1 → 0-2
Result
Call Overturned
Recorded Challenge
Game State
1st and 2nd
Top 1 • 1-0 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
51
Pitch
Slider
Velocity
85.3 MPH
Location
-0.75 x, 2.68 z
Umpire Count
1-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 1-1 to 0-2.
Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.
Decision Read
Model leaned hold
63% overturn probability and -0.29% expected value at challenge time.