Game 825000

New York Yankees at Oakland Athletics

Sutter Health Park

May 30, 10:05 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

NYY

123456789000100003

ATH

12345678920000121—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
NYY	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	4	6	0	Challenges remaining: 0
ATH	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	—	6	8	2	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

ATH

NYY

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

ATH3NYY5

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

ATH33%NYY60%

33%

60%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

ATH0%NYY20%

20%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

8 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

100%

3 reviews

ELI 49.7

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 55.5

RHP vs RHB

2 reviews

ELI 58.5

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 42.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sweeper

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot4 • Oakland Athletics

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.54% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.54%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Oakland Athletics

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +22

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.13% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.13%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • New York Yankees

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

Walk → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • +0.00% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 Outs

Top7 • New York Yankees

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-3

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.17% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 67%EV -0.17%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • New York Yankees

Paul Goldschmidt challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Paul Goldschmidt called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 44

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-6

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.23% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

Top9 • New York Yankees

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Overturned +24

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 2-6

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.23% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

RISPTwo OutsBases Loaded

OVR 39%EV -0.23%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • New York Yankees

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 58

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

3-1

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 2-6

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.34% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

RISPTwo OutsBases Loaded

OVR 39%EV +0.34%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Oakland Athletics

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 66

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 3-6

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.84% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

RISPTwo OutsBases Loaded

OVR 98%EV +1.84%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Tyler Soderstrom vs Ryan Weathers

Count Transition

2-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 4 • 1-2 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

84.9 MPH

Location

-0.72 x, 1.47 z

Umpire Count

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 2-1.

The review did not create a new state; 2-1 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.54% expected value at challenge time.