Game 825025

Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics

Sutter Health Park

Apr 5, 4:05 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

HOU

123456789100000302401

ATH

123456789100000504003

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E	ABS
HOU	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	4	0	1	10	11	2	Challenges remaining: 0
ATH	0	0	0	0	5	0	4	0	0	3	12	16	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

ATH

HOU

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

ATH4HOU3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

ATH50%HOU33%

50%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

ATH0%HOU0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

7 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

75%

4 reviews

ELI 45.3

RHP vs RHB

2 reviews

ELI 50.5

LHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 62.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Cutter

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-L

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • Oakland Athletics

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 62

Confirmed -22

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.60% EV

Scenario Swing Index-22

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 98%EV +0.60%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot3 • Houston Astros

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.14% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV +1.14%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot3 • Houston Astros

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.98% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 98%EV +0.98%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot5 • Oakland Athletics

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Overturned +16

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 3-0

Count Edge

+53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.59% EV

Scenario Swing Index+16

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.59%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.4 ptsBB +55.6 pts

Bot5 • Oakland Athletics

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

2nd and 3rd • 3-1

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +2.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV +2.01%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Houston Astros

Joey Loperfido challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Joey Loperfido called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.97% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 Outs

Top6 • Oakland Athletics

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 3-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.38% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPTwo Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.38%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Carlos Correa vs Jacob Lopez

Count Transition

3-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 3 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

87.9 MPH

Location

0.18 x, 3.69 z

Umpire Count

3-2

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 3-2.

The review did not create a new state; 3-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

98% overturn probability and +0.60% expected value at challenge time.