Game 825074

Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks

Chase Field

Jun 7, 3:15 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

WSH

123456789010000000

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
WSH	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	Challenges remaining: 1
AZ	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	—	5	9	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

WSH

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

AZ4WSH1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

AZ100%WSH0%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

AZ0%WSH0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 51.5

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 58.0

RHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 55.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

Walk → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.36% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Bot2 • Washington Nationals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -2.83% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 44%EV -2.83%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top3 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Gabriel Moreno challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Curtis Mead called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.07% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

Bot7 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +22

Count Shift

2-1 → 3-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-4

Count Edge

+61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.46% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.46%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +5.9 ptsBB +90.1 pts

Bot7 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Overturned +24

Count Shift

Strikeout → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.09% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

Two Outs

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Daylen Lile vs Michael Soroka

Count Transition

Walk → 3-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 2 • Tie 1-1 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

93.8 MPH

Location

0.67 x, 2.87 z

Umpire Count

Walk

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from Walk to 3-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -0.79% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

98% overturn probability and +0.36% expected value at challenge time.