Game 825079

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks

Chase Field

Jun 2, 9:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

LAD

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
LAD	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6	10	0	Challenges remaining: 0
AZ	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	0	0	5	11	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

LAD

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

AZ5LAD3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

AZ80%LAD33%

80%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

AZ60%LAD33%

60%

33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

8 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs SHB

RHP vs RHB

60%

5 reviews

ELI 46.6

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 66.0

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 69.0

RHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 70.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

5 reviews • 80% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Overturned +18

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 2-0

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.45% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.45%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot5 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 4-2

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.45% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPTwo Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.45%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 4-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.75% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.75%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

3-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 6-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.17% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.17%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Overturned +24

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 6-4

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.66% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 3%EV -0.66%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 66

Overturned +30

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 6-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

RISPTwo OutsLate & CloseBases Loaded

Bot7 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Dalton Rushing challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Pavin Smith walks. Nolan Arenado scores. Ildemaro Vargas to 3rd. Geraldo Perdomo to 2nd.

High Pressure • ELI 65

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 6-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.64% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

RISPTwo OutsLate & CloseBases Loaded

Bot9 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 69

Overturned +31

Count Shift

Strikeout → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.76% EV

Scenario Swing Index+31

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Mookie Betts vs Michael Soroka

Count Transition

0-2 → 1-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 1 • 2-0 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

89.2 MPH

Location

0.91 x, 1.99 z

Umpire Count

0-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-2 to 1-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.45% expected value at challenge time.