Game 825103

Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks

Chase Field

Apr 3, 9:45 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

ATL

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	6	0	Challenges remaining: 1
AZ	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

ATL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

AZ3ATL4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

AZ100%ATL75%

100%

75%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

AZ33%ATL25%

33%

25%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

7 reviewed pitches so far • 6 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

100%

3 reviews

ELI 57.3

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 51.0

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 56.0

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 60.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

5 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -2.47% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 98%EV -2.47%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot4 • Atlanta Braves

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

Walk → 3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.86% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Top5 • Atlanta Braves

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 61

Overturned +27

Count Shift

2-1 → 3-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.92% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 3%EV -0.92%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +5.9 ptsBB +90.1 pts

Top6 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.38% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV -0.38%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Atlanta Braves

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.21% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV +0.21%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +27

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.63% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 3%EV -0.63%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Atlanta Braves

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 65

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.19% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 39%EV -0.19%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Michael Harris II vs Eduardo Rodriguez

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 2 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

90.6 MPH

Location

-0.64 x, 2.75 z

Umpire Count

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -2.50% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

98% overturn probability and -2.47% expected value at challenge time.