Game 831449
Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium
Mar 21, 5:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
3 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned
Highest Risk Split
Directional only
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-R
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top2 • Miami Marlins
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-4
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.20% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top4 • Miami Marlins
Low Pressure • ELI 28
Count Shift
1-1 → 2-0
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 0-5
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.51% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot7 • St. Louis Cardinals
Medium Pressure • ELI 54
Count Shift
1-1 → 2-0
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 4-6
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.54% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Agustín Ramírez vs Mason Molina
Count Transition
1-1 → 2-0
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Runner on 2nd
Top 4 • 0-5 • 1 out
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
28
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
92.2 MPH
Location
0.87 x, 3.30 z
Count Before
1-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 1-1 to 2-0.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.120 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
45% overturn probability and -1.51% expected value at challenge time.