Game 831452

Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals

Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium

Mar 19, 5:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
WSH	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	0	Challenges remaining: 1
STL	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	—	5	10	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

STL

WSH

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

STL1WSH3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

STL100%WSH67%

100%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

STL0%WSH33%

33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

75%

4 reviews

ELI 54.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Washington Nationals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 58

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • +0.08% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Two Outs

OVR 45%EV +0.08%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot3 • St. Louis Cardinals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Overturned +38

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.25% EV

Scenario Swing Index+38

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot3 • Washington Nationals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +40

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • +0.07% EV

Scenario Swing Index+40

RISPTwo OutsTie Game

OVR 53%EV +0.07%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top7 • Washington Nationals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +36

Count Shift

Strikeout → Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.63% EV

Scenario Swing Index+36

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Nelson Velázquez vs Zack Littell

Count Transition

Strikeout → 3-2

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 3 • Tie 1-1 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

90.1 MPH

Location

1.15 x, 2.36 z

Count Before

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from Strikeout to 3-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.159 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

45% overturn probability and +0.25% expected value at challenge time.