Game 831456

St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets

Clover Park

Mar 20, 5:10 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
STL	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	4	7	0	Challenges remaining: 1
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	3	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

NYM

STL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

NYM1STL4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

NYM100%STL75%

100%

75%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

NYM0%STL0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 42.0

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 46.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-M

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • St. Louis Cardinals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +30

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.71% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV +1.71%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top2 • St. Louis Cardinals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.65% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV +1.65%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot3 • St. Louis Cardinals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +30

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

-1.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.66% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV +0.66%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot3 • St. Louis Cardinals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +46

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.27% EV

Scenario Swing Index+46

Less Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top8 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +38

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.72% EV

Scenario Swing Index+38

Less Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Hayden Senger vs Matthew Liberatore

Count Transition

1-2 → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Plate Appearance Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 3 • 1-0 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Curveball

Velocity

77.6 MPH

Location

-0.23 x, 3.31 z

Count Before

1-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-2 to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.043 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.27% expected value at challenge time.