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Game 831462

Miami Marlins at New York Mets

Clover Park

Mar 13, 10:10 PM UTC

Miami Marlins Logo
New York Mets Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Miami Marlins Logo
MIA
000000100141
Challenges remaining: 1
New York Mets Logo
NYM
000000000050
Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 22, 9:50 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

NYM
MIA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

NYM2MIA2
2
2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

NYM100%MIA50%
100%
50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

NYM0%MIA0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 46.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 56.0

RHP vs SHB

0%

1 review

ELI 50.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Miami Marlins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.92% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18
Less Than 2 OutsTie Game
OVR 45%EV +0.92%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top2 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +46

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index+46
Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot3 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +46

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.27% EV

Scenario Swing Index+46
Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top6 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +40

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.77% EV

Scenario Swing Index+40
Less Than 2 OutsTie Game
OVR 53%EV -1.77%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Miami Marlins edged out the New York Mets 1-0 at Clover Park, with the game’s defining factor being the impactful use of ABS challenges on tight calls. A total of four challenges were issued, with three resulting in overturned calls, signaling a highly effective review process that subtly shifted at-bat dynamics but did not alter scoring.

The most notable challenges occurred during tight pitcher-batter duels in the early-to-mid innings, particularly involving Mets catcher Luis Torrens and Marlins hitter Joe Mack. Both players benefited from overturned called strike calls on critical counts. For Torrens, two separate challenges in the second and sixth innings reduced strike counts, altering the progression of his at-bats without culminating in runs. Similarly, Mack’s overturned strike in the third inning reset his count late in a 0-0 frame. Each overturned call changed the count in favor of the batter, demonstrating how ABS reviews subtly influenced plate discipline and pitch sequences, even if they couldn’t translate directly into tangible scoring opportunities.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B2-2Four-Seam FastballBCFMB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Jackson Cluff vs Chris Paddack

Count Transition

2-2 → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Plate Appearance Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 3 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

46

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

92.5 MPH

Location

0.58 x, 2.11 z

Count Before

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-2 to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.023 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.27% expected value at challenge time.

The plate umpire’s decisions experienced a high correction rate, with three of four challenges overturned, including two for the Mets and one for the Marlins. While pitch-location data was used to inform these decisions, two of those relied on inferred coordinates, reminding us that while ABS is a powerful tool for clarifying the strike zone, conclusions on umpiring tendencies from this single game should remain measured.

Ultimately, the ABS process played a quiet but clear role in maintaining fairness on borderline pitches during a close, scoreless contest well into late innings. The absence of late-and-close challenges implies confidence in calls when the game’s margin was on the line. In a game decided by a single run absent late umpire intervention, ABS proved its primary value in ensuring accuracy and consistency early and mid-game rather than shifting outcome-defining moments.

Debrief quality