Game 831463

New York Mets at Miami Marlins

Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium

Mar 17, 1:10 PM EDT

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

NYM

123456789002000300

MIA

123456789000010130

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
NYM	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	5	10	1	Challenges remaining: 0
MIA	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	5	5	2	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIA

NYM

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIA2NYM2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIA50%NYM0%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIA50%NYM0%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 47.0

LHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 47.0

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 76.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

4 reviews • 25% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot3 • New York Mets

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.22%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 2-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.31% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Two Outs

OVR 67%EV -0.31%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Miami Marlins

Owen Caissie challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Owen Caissie walks. Connor Norby to 2nd.

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +17

Count Shift

Strikeout → Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 5-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index+17

RISPLess Than 2 OutsFull Count

Bot8 • Miami Marlins

Jake McCutcheon challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Jake McCutcheon called out on strikes.

High Pressure • ELI 69

Confirmed -24

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 5-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.82% EV

Scenario Swing Index-24

Two OutsLate & CloseTie Game

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Jacob Berry vs Sean Manaea

Count Transition

2-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 3 • 2-0 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

89.4 MPH

Location

0.31 x, 1.47 z

Umpire Count

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 2-2.

The review did not create a new state; 2-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

44% overturn probability and -0.22% expected value at challenge time.