Game 831469
Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium
Mar 7, 6:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:28 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
4 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
LHP vs RHB
0%
3 reviews
ELI 64.0
RHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 46.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Sinker
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-R
2 reviews • 0% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top3 • St. Louis Cardinals
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-1
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.18% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top7 • St. Louis Cardinals
Medium Pressure • ELI 56
Count Shift
2-0
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 1-2
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -4.26% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top8 • New York Mets
High Pressure • ELI 65
Count Shift
3-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 2-2
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.65% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top9 • New York Mets
High Pressure • ELI 71
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 3-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.81% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831469: New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals. Total challenges: 4. Overturned: 1. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Cristian Pache vs Kyle Leahy
Count Transition
2-1 → 1-2
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Bases Empty
Top 3 • 0-1 • 1 out
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
46
Pitch
Sinker
Velocity
94.7 MPH
Location
0.78 x, 2.54 z
Count Before
2-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 2-1 to 1-2.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.083 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
53% overturn probability and -0.18% expected value at challenge time.