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Game 831472

New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals

Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium

Mar 12, 5:05 PM UTC

New York Mets Logo
St. Louis Cardinals Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
New York Mets Logo
NYM
100000000150
Challenges remaining: 2
St. Louis Cardinals Logo
STL
21000000—380
Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 22, 9:47 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

STL
NYM

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

STL2NYM1
2
1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

STL100%NYM100%
100%
100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

STL0%NYM0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 51.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 51.0

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 42.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Cutter

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • St. Louis Cardinals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

-1.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.99% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37
Two Outs
OVR 53%EV +0.99%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot1 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +30

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-0

Count Edge

-27.7 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +4.46% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +4.46%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -4.0 ptsBB -27.8 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top6 • St. Louis Cardinals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-3

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.15% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37
Two Outs
OVR 53%EV -1.15%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

In a tightly contested afternoon matchup at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium, the St. Louis Cardinals edged the New York Mets 3-1, with the game’s narrative notably shaped by precise and consistent umpire reviews. All three challenges, distributed evenly in the first and sixth innings, were overturned, demonstrating the effectiveness of the review system on this day. The 3-for-3 overturn rate stands out as the defining takeaway, underscoring how closely the on-field calls were monitored and corrected in real time.

The challenges primarily influenced pivotal moments affecting the counts on hitters rather than any direct scoring plays. Early in the bottom of the first inning, both teams successfully overturned called strikes—Francisco Alvarez of the Mets and Yohel Pozo of the Cardinals each had strike calls changed, altering counts and thus extending at-bats. Pozo appeared twice in the challenge mix, including a critical Plate Appearance in the bottom of the sixth when another called strike was overturned, adjusting the count from 1-0 to 0-1 with the Cardinals leading 3-1. These adjustments, though subtle, had the potential to shift the tempo and pressure within innings by refining the strike zone adherence.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B1-0CutterBB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Brett Baty vs Chris Roycroft

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 6 • 1-3 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

51

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

89.7 MPH

Location

-0.63 x, 1.76 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.034 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

53% overturn probability and -1.15% expected value at challenge time.

From an umpire perspective, the review system proved robust, with all three plate umpire calls overturned based on pitch-location evidence. This strong alignment between video and verifiable data suggests a well-maintained strike zone that still benefits from technological support, particularly in close counts. While the data set is small, the flawless overturn record highlights a precise arbiter of ball and strike calls, promoting fairness without disrupting game flow.

Overall, the tight score line and the timing of these overturned calls contribute to a narrative of a game defined by careful umpiring and the subtle battle of counts—a reminder that the smallest adjustments can influence the broader rhythm between pitcher and batter over nine innings.

Debrief quality