Skip to main content
ABS Observatory
Live FeedUmpire StatsTeam StatsArticlesAbout

Game 831473

St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets

Clover Park

Mar 10, 5:10 PM UTC

St. Louis Cardinals Logo
New York Mets Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
St. Louis Cardinals Logo
STL
100000000130
Challenges remaining: 0
New York Mets Logo
NYM
10310100—6142
Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 10, 9:42 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

NYM
STL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

NYM3STL2
3
2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

NYM33%STL0%
33%
0%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

NYM0%STL0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

LHP vs LHB

0%

3 reviews

ELI 51.3

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 42.0

RHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 46.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • New York Mets

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +30

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.73% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV -0.73%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot1 • St. Louis Cardinals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 62

Confirmed -22

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • +0.08% EV

Scenario Swing Index-22
Two OutsTie Game
OVR 45%EV +0.08%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top3 • New York Mets

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.25% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19
RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game
OVR 45%EV +0.25%MEDIUM RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top5 • New York Mets

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.48% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14
Two Outs
OVR 45%EV -0.48%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot6 • St. Louis Cardinals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-6

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.42% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16
Two Outs
OVR 45%EV +0.42%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The New York Mets secured a comprehensive 6-1 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals at Clover Park, marked by a pivotal overturned ball call that subtly influenced early momentum. The Mets' lone successful challenge, overturning a ball call on Marcus Semien in the first inning from a 1-2 count to 2-1, demonstrated how a single adjusted count can shift a batter’s approach and potentially the inning's outcome. This moment anchored an early offensive surge that set the tone for the game.

Across the five challenges issued, 4 calls were confirmed, including two late first-inning calls that solidified the game’s initial rhythm. The Cardinals, who failed to overturn either of their two attempts, faced sustained pressure, particularly in the bottom halves of the early innings where most action clustered. Both teams had similar challenge volumes, yet only the Mets turned theirs into a tangible benefit, underscoring the nuances of timely and precise video review usage.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM2-2ChangeupCFMCFMCFMK

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Corey Collins vs Matt Pushard

Count Transition

2-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 6 • 1-6 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

46

Pitch

Changeup

Velocity

85.8 MPH

Location

0.47 x, 1.66 z

Count Before

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 2-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

45% overturn probability and +0.42% expected value at challenge time.

The plate umpire’s decisions held firm in 4 of 5 cases, supported by robust pitch-location data on every review, which suggests a well-defined strike zone in this game. While no late-and-close challenge situations arose, the available evidence paints a picture of steady umpire performance, with reliability reinforced by technology. Although the data is constrained to five challenges, the interplay between confirmed calls and that critical overturned pitch highlights the subtle but important role of precise challenge execution in shaping this Mets win.

Debrief quality