Game 831474
Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium
Feb 28, 6:10 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:27 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
6 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
100%
3 reviews
ELI 37.0
RHP vs RHB
67%
3 reviews
ELI 43.7
Most Targeted Pitch
Slider
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-M
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • St. Louis Cardinals
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
Strikeout → Walk
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Hold • +0.11% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top1 • Miami Marlins
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.39% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top3 • Miami Marlins
Low Pressure • ELI 28
Count Shift
1-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 6-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.27% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top4 • Miami Marlins
Low Pressure • ELI 28
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 6-1
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.01% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot4 • St. Louis Cardinals
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 7-1
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.73% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot9 • Miami Marlins
Medium Pressure • ELI 53
Count Shift
2-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 10-2
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -8.18% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831474: St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins. Total challenges: 6. Overturned: 5. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Alec Burleson vs Calvin Faucher
Count Transition
1-0 → 0-1
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Runner on 2nd
Top 4 • 6-1 • 1 out
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
28
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
92.8 MPH
Location
-0.05 x, 1.61 z
Count Before
1-0
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.109 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
53% overturn probability and -1.01% expected value at challenge time.