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Game 831475

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals

CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches

Mar 1, 6:05 PM UTC

Miami Marlins Logo
Washington Nationals Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Miami Marlins Logo
MIA
110001000380
Challenges remaining: 2
Washington Nationals Logo
WSH
000000000040
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:27 AM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

WSH
MIA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

WSH3MIA1
3
1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

WSH67%MIA100%
67%
100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

WSH0%MIA0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 45.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 51.0

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 40.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Washington Nationals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +51

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Hold • +0.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index+51
Two Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot4 • Washington Nationals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 2-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.09% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +1.09%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot6 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Overturned +40

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.54% EV

Scenario Swing Index+40
Less Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top9 • Washington Nationals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +36

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-0

Count Edge

-27.7 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.43% EV

Scenario Swing Index+36
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV -1.43%MEDIUM RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -4.0 ptsBB -27.8 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

ABS Report

Game 831475: Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals. Total challenges: 4. Overturned: 3. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.

Debrief quality

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM0-2SinkerBBB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Drew Millas vs Tyler Phillips

Count Transition

0-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Bot 4 • 2-0 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

40

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

96.6 MPH

Location

0.81 x, 1.71 z

Count Before

0-2

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 0-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +1.09% expected value at challenge time.