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Game 831476

Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals

Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium

Mar 2, 6:05 PM UTC

Miami Marlins Logo
St. Louis Cardinals Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Miami Marlins Logo
MIA
010100000261
Challenges remaining: 2
St. Louis Cardinals Logo
STL
000000201350
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:27 AM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

STL
MIA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

STL4MIA1
4
1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

STL75%MIA100%
75%
100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

STL75%MIA100%
75%
100%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 57.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 67.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot6 • St. Louis Cardinals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-0

Count Edge

+27.7 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.64% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37
Two Outs
OVR 45%EV -0.64%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +4.0 ptsBB +27.8 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot7 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +43

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 2-1

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +2.97% EV

Scenario Swing Index+43
RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 53%EV +2.97%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot7 • St. Louis Cardinals

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 67

Overturned +48

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 2-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.69% EV

Scenario Swing Index+48
RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseBases Loaded

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot7 • St. Louis Cardinals

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 67

Overturned +48

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 2-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.69% EV

Scenario Swing Index+48
RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseBases Loaded

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot8 • St. Louis Cardinals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.72% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21
Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

ABS Report

Game 831476: Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals. Total challenges: 5. Overturned: 4. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.

Debrief quality

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B1-0SliderCFMKKK

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Victor Scott II vs Josh White

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

1st and 2nd

Bot 7 • 2-1 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

60

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

84.8 MPH

Location

-0.59 x, 3.28 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.193 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +2.97% expected value at challenge time.