Game 831481
Clover Park
Feb 28, 6:10 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:27 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
60%
5 reviews
ELI 52.8
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
3 reviews • 33% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-R
4 reviews • 75% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top2 • Washington Nationals
Medium Pressure • ELI 53
Count Shift
Strikeout → 1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Hold • +0.14% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top2 • Washington Nationals
Medium Pressure • ELI 62
Count Shift
Strikeout → 3-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.16% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot2 • New York Mets
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
Strikeout → Walk
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.18% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top4 • New York Mets
Medium Pressure • ELI 52
Count Shift
2-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 2-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.28% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top6 • New York Mets
Medium Pressure • ELI 47
Count Shift
1-2
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 3-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.49% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831481: Washington Nationals at New York Mets. Total challenges: 5. Overturned: 3. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Andrés Chaparro vs Tobias Myers
Count Transition
Strikeout → 3-2
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Runner on 1st
Top 2 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
62
Pitch
Splitter
Velocity
79.4 MPH
Location
0.30 x, 1.54 z
Count Before
Strikeout
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from Strikeout to 3-2.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.048 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
45% overturn probability and +0.16% expected value at challenge time.