Game 831485
Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium
Feb 23, 6:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:26 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs RHB
RHP vs LHB
67%
3 reviews
ELI 49.3
LHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 60.0
RHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 56.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
3 reviews • 33% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-L
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top2 • St. Louis Cardinals
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
Walk → Strikeout
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.23% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot3 • Miami Marlins
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 2-1
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +2.29% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top7 • St. Louis Cardinals
Medium Pressure • ELI 56
Count Shift
Walk
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 3-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.63% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top8 • St. Louis Cardinals
Medium Pressure • ELI 60
Count Shift
2-0 → 1-1
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 3-2
Count Edge
+0.9 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.45% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot9 • Miami Marlins
Medium Pressure • ELI 60
Count Shift
1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-2
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.62% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831485: Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals. Total challenges: 5. Overturned: 3. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Leo Bernal vs Michael Petersen
Count Transition
1-0 → 0-1
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Runner on 1st
Bot 3 • 2-1 • 0 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
42
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
96.6 MPH
Location
-0.61 x, 1.87 z
Count Before
1-0
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.127 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +2.29% expected value at challenge time.