Game 831489
Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium
Feb 24, 6:10 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:26 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 52.0
RHP vs LHB
0%
2 reviews
ELI 53.0
LHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 50.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Curveball
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-R
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • Miami Marlins
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
2-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.38% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Bot3 • Philadelphia Phillies
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
2-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.27% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot3 • Philadelphia Phillies
Medium Pressure • ELI 55
Count Shift
1-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.74% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top4 • Miami Marlins
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
Walk → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.39% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top7 • Philadelphia Phillies
Medium Pressure • ELI 54
Count Shift
Strikeout → 1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-6
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.49% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831489: Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins. Total challenges: 5. Overturned: 3. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Esteury Ruiz vs Nolan Hoffman
Count Transition
2-2 → Strikeout
Result
Call Overturned
Plate Appearance Changed
Game State
Bases Empty
Bot 3 • Tie 1-1 • 1 out
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
50
Pitch
Curveball
Velocity
78.4 MPH
Location
-0.66 x, 1.97 z
Count Before
2-2
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 2-2 to Strikeout.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.015 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +0.27% expected value at challenge time.