Game 831491

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals

CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches

Feb 24, 6:05 PM EST

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

STL

123456789001000000

WSH

12345678910000005—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
STL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2	Challenges remaining: 0
WSH	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	—	6	4	1	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

WSH

STL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

WSH1STL3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

WSH100%STL33%

100%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

WSH0%STL0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

2 reviews

ELI 56.0

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 55.0

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 50.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-M

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • St. Louis Cardinals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.83% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

RISPTwo OutsTie Game

OVR 3%EV -0.83%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot3 • Washington Nationals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 67%EV -1.40%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • St. Louis Cardinals

Pedro Pagés challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Pedro Pagés called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.89% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

Top5 • St. Louis Cardinals

Ramon Mendoza challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Ramon Mendoza called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.15% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Thomas Saggese vs Ken Waldichuk

Count Transition

0-1 → 1-0

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Top 3 • Tie 1-1 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

93.4 MPH

Location

0.09 x, 3.52 z

Umpire Count

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +1.55% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.83% expected value at challenge time.