Game 831495
Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium
Feb 22, 6:10 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:26 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
7 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
33%
6 reviews
ELI 37.3
LHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 34.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
3 reviews • 33% overturned
Most Active Lane
Mid-L
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • Washington Nationals
Medium Pressure • ELI 53
Count Shift
Strikeout → 2-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Hold • +0.08% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot1 • Washington Nationals
Low Pressure • ELI 34
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 3-0
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.80% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top2 • Washington Nationals
Low Pressure • ELI 34
Count Shift
2-2
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • 3-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +13.05% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top3 • Miami Marlins
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
2-0
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 3-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -3.53% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top4 • Miami Marlins
Low Pressure • ELI 34
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 3-0
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.57% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot4 • Washington Nationals
Low Pressure • ELI 34
Count Shift
3-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 3-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.60% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top5 • Miami Marlins
Low Pressure • ELI 30
Count Shift
3-0
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 5-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.41% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831495: Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins. Total challenges: 7. Overturned: 3. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Kyle Stowers vs Mitchell Parker
Count Transition
2-1 → 1-2
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Bases Empty
Bot 1 • 3-0 • 1 out
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
34
Pitch
Slider
Velocity
84.6 MPH
Location
-0.62 x, 2.75 z
Count Before
2-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 2-1 to 1-2.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.083 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +0.80% expected value at challenge time.