Game 831496
CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
Mar 22, 4:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 25, 3:24 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs LHB
RHP vs RHB
67%
3 reviews
ELI 59.7
LHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 57.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Slider
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-R
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top3 • St. Louis Cardinals
Medium Pressure • ELI 53
Count Shift
Strikeout → 3-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.21% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top6 • Houston Astros
Medium Pressure • ELI 57
Count Shift
3-0 → 2-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 2-1
Count Edge
-32.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +10.79% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot8 • Houston Astros
Medium Pressure • ELI 60
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 3-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.85% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top9 • Houston Astros
High Pressure • ELI 66
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 3-2
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -3.02% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
St. Louis Cardinals at Houston Astros ended with St. Louis Cardinals 3, Houston Astros 2, and the ABS layer of the game was defined by 4 total challenges with 3 overturns. Houston Astros got the most value from review, finishing 2-for-3 on its challenges.
In Bottom 9, Houston Astros challenged for César Salazar on a Called Strike, and the review overturned the call. In Bottom 6, Houston Astros challenged for on a , and the review overturned the call. In Bottom 3, challenged for on a , and the review overturned the call.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Brice Matthews vs George Soriano
Count Transition
Strikeout
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Runner on 2nd
Bot 8 • 3-2 • 1 out
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
60
Pitch
Slider
Velocity
83.7 MPH
Location
-0.59 x, 1.74 z
Count Before
Strikeout
Baseball Consequence
Review held the count at Strikeout.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +0.85% expected value at challenge time.
Overall, the plate umpire had 3 calls overturned out of 4 reviews, with 1 confirmed. Pitch-location evidence was available on 4 of 4 challenges, but 1 relied on inferred coordinates, so zone takeaways should stay measured. 1 challenge locations relied on inferred coordinates, so any zone commentary should be treated as directional rather than exact. This recap used the deterministic fallback template rather than a model-written narrative, so it stays compact and evidence-based.