Game 831498

Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers

Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium

Mar 16, 5:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
PHI	0	3	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	6	8	1	Challenges remaining: 1
DET	7	1	3	0	1	0	0	1	—	13	13	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

DET

PHI

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

DET2PHI2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

DET50%PHI50%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

DET0%PHI0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 33.0

LHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 38.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sweeper

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Detroit Tigers

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 33

Confirmed -12

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.51% EV

Scenario Swing Index-12

Two Outs

OVR 53%EV -0.51%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top2 • Detroit Tigers

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 33

Overturned +24

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-7

Count Edge

-27.7 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.20% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

Two Outs

OVR 53%EV -0.20%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -4.0 ptsBB -27.8 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot6 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Overturned +22

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-12

Count Edge

-1.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV -0.11%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot8 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 6-12

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.71% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Jace Jung vs Lou Trivino

Count Transition

1-1 → 0-2

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 6 • 6-12 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

79.7 MPH

Location

-0.76 x, 2.64 z

Count Before

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 0-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.085 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

53% overturn probability and -0.11% expected value at challenge time.